Risk / Reward & Trading

The relationship and importance between risk/reward in stock trading

Risk/reward is one of the most important elements of successful trading. A vast majority of stock traders who fail in trading, never get risk/reward right. Either they blow their accounts by focusing solely on the reward or they get nowhere focusing only on the risk.

So, what’s the right balance. How should you approach the risk-reward equation?

Successful trading is always “risk-first”. You must save your capital to be able to keep trading. If you ignore risk while trading, luck will eventually run out and you will be forced to quit.

Most importantly, as a trader, you need to have the mindset of longevity. You can be successful in a few standalone trades by chance, but that isn’t sustainable.

Sooner or later, the law of probability will kick in, and you would be done with trading if you don’t have a well-thought-out risk-reward plan that works in the long term.

Risk in the risk-reward equation

A skilled trader never enters a trade without a stop loss. In the risk/reward equation, the risk is the loss that you expect to take on each trade.

The optimum level of stop-loss differs from trader to trader. A day trader will have a much tighter stop-loss than a swing or positional trader. A leveraged trader will have different stop rules than a non-leveraged trader.

Therefore, you must know your style, timeframe, and strategy to determine your stop-loss levels.

As a rule of thumb, smart traders don’t risk more than 2% of their trading capital on one trade.

For example, if you have a $10000 account and you put $2500 on one trade, you can’t afford to lose more than 8% ($200) on the trade. This $200 is 2% of your trading account.

Reward in the risk-reward equation

The reward in the equation is the return you expect to make in each trade. Like risk, the reward also differs from trader to trader. For example, a positional trader will be gunning for a much higher reward than a day trader.

You can have a set percentage gain plan (for example 10%, 15%, or 20%) or you may have a subjective profit-taking plan based on how the stock behaves after you enter the position.

The important part here is that you must have a profit plan beforehand. There is nothing worse than sitting clueless on a profitable trade.

Risk-reward and win rate - The math of trading

No trader, irrespective of the strategy and philosophy, ever gets a 100% win rate (the percentage of winning trade of total trades). The best traders have a win rate that’s less than 50%. Of course, there will be exceptions, but trading is the game of averages, and a consistently profitable trader always swears by the averages.

When you are trading with such odds, you have to win higher in each winning trade than you lose in each losing trade to take some money home. You need a favorable risk/reward.

Here are different combinations of risk/reward and win rates along with the returns you can expect with these combinations.